Daxos Capital — Internal DD

Satlyt

Distributed Orbital Cloud orchestration · Series Seed Preferred · 2026-05-23

Round: $7M at $27M pre / $34M post Lead: Non Sibi Ventures ($2M) Close: June 30, 2026 Status: Oversubscribed
Headline Rating
6.75/10
Take a meeting. Push the five DD questions. $50K–$100K small check only if all five clear cleanly. Do not lead. Do not exceed $100K until on-orbit telemetry and cap-table reconciliation confirmed.

Blended Agent Ratings

LensRatingRecommended check
Institutional VC7.0$100K–$150K
Aerospace specialist7.0$100K–$150K
Pragmatic angel7.0$100K–$150K
Financial analyst7.0$100K–$150K
Verification (independent sources)6.5–7.0$50K–$100K post-DD only
Blended6.75$50K–$100K conditional

What Is Real & Verified

What Does Not Survive Public Verification

  1. Momentus Vigoride 7 / DPhi deployment (claimed Mar 30, 2026) is unverified. Payload Space coverage of the DPhi second demo (Apr 29, 2026) names only Liquid AI as the on-orbit software tenant. Satlyt not named in any Momentus or DPhi public materials.
  2. Prior Antler pre-seed was $300K, not $1M. Crunchbase, StartupList Africa, and Tracxn all show $300K. Deck and prior memory both inflate.
  3. NASA STTR partner is University of Florida (Prof. Hamed Dalir), not University of Houston as the deck claims. Either there is a second STTR or the deck has the partner wrong.
  4. Non Sibi Ventures is not a space domain fund. Kent Lucas (ex Capital Group) + Sid Smith. Only 3 confirmed prior investments (SparkCharge, ChargerHelp, DexMat). Zero prior space or aerospace investments. Industrial / sustainability thematic fund.

Top 5 DD Questions (Must Clear Before Any Check)

  1. Momentus / DPhi confirmation. Signed PO with DPhi or Momentus, telemetry logs from on-orbit, dollar value, Liquid AI co-tenant clarification. Why does public press only name Liquid AI on DPhi Clustergate 2?
  2. NASA STTR partner letter. Award document showing partner institution. UF (per NASA archive) or UH (per deck)?
  3. Cap table & prior round reconciliation. Was Aug 2024 Antler pre-seed $300K or $1M? Signed sub agreements. Additional angel SAFEs 2024–2025 rolled into "pre-seed"?
  4. $150K invoiced revenue breakdown across 6 confirmed 2026 missions. Signed POs, dollar values per mission, payment terms. How much is recurring $4,200/sat/mo SaaS vs lumpy mission integration?
  5. Nelson Psenjen employment & equity status. Full-time confirmation, vesting cliff, retention agreement, hours commitment, named systems engineering #2 if he were to depart.

Probability-Weighted EV

ScenarioAvg POutcome valueContribution
Wind down / zero42%$0–$5M$1M
Acqui-hire $30M–$80M27%$50M$13.5M
Strategic exit $150M–$400M20%$250M$50M
Breakout $1B+9%$1.5B$135M
Generational2%$20B$400M
Blended company EV~$600M

On a $100K check at $34M post (assuming 50% future dilution): ~0.15% post-dilution ownership, expected return ~$900K, so ~9× gross on a long-dated outcome. 73% of EV comes from breakout + generational scenarios — heavily power-law driven.

Daxos Benchmark Placement

TierCompanies
Well aboveCFC 9.5 · Apyx 9.0 · Askari Defense 8.5 · Aethero (BORO-SM) ~8.0 · Thermopylae (BORO-SM) ~8.0
AboveBESXAR 7.5 · Sophia Space 7.5 · Archaius 7.5 · mara 7.5 · Fieldstone Bio 7.5
Tied (~7.0)Katomed · Verso · Locus YC F25 · Fluid Markets YC W23
Satlyt 6.75Slightly below 7.0 cluster, above 6.5 cluster
BelowWootz Nano 6.5 · TeroAI 5.5 · Delivr 4.0 · Space DOTS 3.67 · AllergeneAI 3.5 · Auron 2.5

Head-to-Head Comparisons

vs. Sophia Space (7.5)

Sophia has the harder moat (passive cooling IP, 7-exit founder, MIT Lincoln Labs paying customer, NVIDIA-led SAFE, Kepler hardware partnership). Satlyt has more on-orbit demonstrations (1 confirmed) but no hardware IP and weaker founder pedigree. Sophia wins on defensibility. Satlyt half-tick below.

vs. BESXAR (7.5)

BESXAR has OpenAI founding team, signed SpaceX 12-mission deal, DoD prime contract. Satlyt has broader NASA portfolio but no comparable single anchor contract. BESXAR wins on founder pedigree and customer concentration.

vs. Aethero (BORO-SM ~8.0)

Aethero is rad-hardened edge compute hardware ($8.4M seed June 2025, Kindred Ventures, EnduroSat FRAME 15 Titan mission Oct 2026). Different layer (hardware not orchestration). Aethero is the bar Satlyt needs to clear to justify a meaningful Daxos check.

vs. Wootz Nano (6.5)

Both dual-use defense-adjacent infra plays. Wootz has more concrete government revenue ($69K 2024 → $2.5M 2026 projected, AFWERX SBIR). Satlyt has on-orbit execution Wootz lacks, and a stronger institutional validation stack. Satlyt above Wootz.

Recommendation

Take a meeting. Push hard on the 5 DD questions above. If all 5 clear cleanly, write a $50K–$100K small check alongside Non Sibi Ventures, treating this as a sleeve position with optionality on the breakout scenarios.

Do not lead. Do not exceed $100K until: (a) Momentus/DPhi deployment confirmed with telemetry, (b) at least 2 of the 6 confirmed missions revealed as paid recurring contracts at $4K+/sat/month, (c) cap table reconciliation matches deck narrative.

If any of the 5 DD questions returns ambiguous or evasive answers — pass and revisit at Series A with execution data.